Prediction of Kei Nishikori vs Roger Federer Head-to-Head, At

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

HEAD TO HEAD

K. Nishikori vs R. Federer

Kei Nishikori
Kei Nishikori

Flag JPN JPN

w
l
w
l
w
l
l
w
w
l
Roger Federer
Roger Federer

Flag SUI SUI

w
w
w
w
l
w
w
w
w
l

3

Win

11

Played

8

Win

35
Age
44
5'10" (178 cm)
Height
6'1" (185 cm)
156
C. Rank
Ret.
4
Best Rank
1
12
Total Titles
105
0
YTD Titles
0
$19.1M
Career Money
$84.3M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Nishikori 3 - 8 Federer

They have played 30 sets in total, with Kei Nishikori winning 10 and Roger Federer winning 20. The last match between Roger Federer and Kei Nishikori was at the Wimbledon - London, 10-07-2019, Round: QF, Surface: Grass, with Roger Federer getting the victory 4-6 6-1 6-4 6-4.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Nishikori3
Federer8
Last 11 H2H Matches:

(QFWimbledon - London(07-10-19)

Grass
SUI Flag
Roger Federer
4
6
6
6
JPN Flag
Kei Nishikori
6
1
4
4

(RobinNitto ATP Finals - London(11-11-18)

I.hard
JPN Flag
Kei Nishikori
7
6
SUI Flag
Roger Federer
6
3

(QFBNP Paribas Masters - Paris(11-02-18)

I.hard
SUI Flag
Roger Federer
6
6
JPN Flag
Kei Nishikori
4
4

K. Nishikori vs R. Federer H2H Profile

Stats
$19,078,945Career Prize Money$84,339,395
68.00% (597-281)Career Total W/L81.81% (1277-284)
1Clay0
0Grass2
1Hard2
1Indoor4
21Titles104
3Total H2H Matches8
50.00% (10-10)YTD Win/Loss0% (0-0)

K. Nishikori vs R. Federer Match Preview:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Kei Nishikori has won 47.96% of points on their second serve, while Roger Federer has won 0%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Kei Nishikori, in recent form, has won 47.92% of their opponent's second serve points, while Roger Federer has won 0%. The same stats for first serve returns are 23.61% and 0% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Kei Nishikori has saved 30.77% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Roger Federer has saved 0% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Kei Nishikori has won 55.56% of matches played (W/L 15/12), with Roger Federer winning 0% (W/L 0/0) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Kei Nishikori has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 71% (W/L 110/45), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 63% (W/L 48/28). Roger Federer has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 195/30), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 76% (W/L 229/74).
  • Player level: In the last year, Kei Nishikori has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 54.55% of matches (W/L 6/5), where as Roger Federer has played most of their matches on the N/A, winning 0% of matches (W/L 0/0). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 11 times before with Kei Nishikori winning 3 times and Roger Federer being victorious 8 times. They have played 30 sets in total, with Kei Nishikori winning 10 and Roger Federer winning 20.
  • The last match between Kei Nishikori and Roger Federer was at the Wimbledon - London, 10-07-2019, Round: QF, Surface: Grass, with Roger Federer getting the victory 4-6 6-1 6-4 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:49:42.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Kei Nishikori and Roger Federer have played a deciding set 4 times, with Kei Nishikori winning 2 times and Roger Federer 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 4 tiebreaks against each other with Kei Nishikori winning 2, and Roger Federer 2.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Kei Nishikori has played against opponents with an average rank of 129.52 while Roger Federer has played against players with an average rank of 0.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Kei Nishikori has won 73% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Roger Federer has won 0% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Kei Nishikori has converted 25.00% of breakpoint opportunities, and Roger Federer has converted 0% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Kei Nishikori vs Roger Federer Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

K. Nishikori vs R. Federer H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
3H2H Matches Won8
10Sets Won20
129Games Won165
24Aces (Total)103
32Total Double Faults27
1:49:42Average Match Time1:49:42
61% (587/970)1st Serve %63% (543/865)
65% (381/587)1st Serve Win %78% (422/543)
52% (198/383)2nd Serve Win %53% (170/322)
37% (22/59)Break Pts Won %43% (38/89)
32% (273/865)Return Points Win %40% (391/970)
33% (3/9)Best‑of‑3 Win %67% (6/9)
0% (0/2)Best‑of‑5 Win %100% (2/2)
50% (2/4)Deciding Set Win %50% (2/4)
50% (2/4)1st Set Won, Won Match86% (6/7)
50% (2/4)1st Set Won, Lost Match14% (1/7)
14% (1/7)1st Set Lost, Won Match50% (2/4)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Nishikori 49%, Federer 0%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Nishikori 50%, Federer 0%.
Break Points Saved %: Nishikori 58%, Federer 0%.

K. Nishikori Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardYokohama Challenger - 17-11-2025

QF

JPNK. Uchida
L
6-2 6-2

R2

KORS. Shin
W
6-4 6-1

R1

JPNT. Ichikawa
W
4-6 6-1 6-1
HardCincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025

R1

ARGC. Ugo
L
7-5 6-3
ClayGonet Geneva Open - Geneva - 19-05-2025

R2

RUSK. Khachanov
L
7-5 2-5 ret.

R. Federer Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
GrassWimbledon - London - 28-06-2021

QF

POLH. Hurkacz
L
6-3 7-6(4) 6-0

R4

ITAL. Sonego
W
7-5 6-4 6-2

R3

GBRC. Norrie
W
6-4 6-4 5-7 6-4

R2

FRAR. Gasquet
W
7-6(1) 6-1 6-4

R1

FRAA. Mannarino
W
6-4 6-7(3) 3-6 6-2 0-0 ret.
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K. Nishikori vs R. Federer Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
68.00% (597/281)YTD Win/Loss81.81% (1277/284)
62.25% (1400/849)Sets Win/Loss75.80% (3145/1004)
53.87% (11512/9858)Games Win/Loss58.15% (23684/17044)
67.73% (298/142)Hard Win/Loss83.21% (555/112)
68.29% (140/65)Clay Win/Loss75.58% (229/74)
70.70% (111/46)Indoor Hard W/L81.42% (298/68)
63.16% (48/28)Grass Win/Loss86.67% (195/30)
0.23Aces Per Game0.44
2447Aces Total8709
0.18Double Faults Per Game0.08
1933Total Double Faults1675
1:27:13Average Match Time1st Match
454.75Average Opponent Rank432.17
62% (36638/59204)1st Serve %63% (52441/83349)
70% (25783/36638)1st Serve Win %78% (40945/52441)
53% (12033/22551)2nd Serve Win %58% (17860/30929)
41% (2546/6179)Break Points Won % (Total)41% (3690/8976)
40% (24128/60796)Return Points Win %40% (36055/90499)
69.43% (109/48)Slam W/L86.01% (369/60)
61.98% (119/73)Masters W/L77.76% (381/109)
76.00% (19/6)Cups W/L86.15% (56/9)
69.57% (224/98)Main Tour W/L83.26% (383/77)
35.71% (5/9)Tour Finals W/L77.63% (59/17)
72.58% (90/34)Challenger W/L69.57% (16/7)
71.43% (20/8)Futures W/L0% (0/0)
68% (476/698)Best of 3 Sets Win %80% (847/1055)
72% (113/158)Best of 5 Sets Win %85% (421/497)
59% (165/281)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)65% (478/732)
73% (201/277)Deciding Set Win %65% (242/375)
92% (512/470)1st Set Won, Won Match93% (1219/1132)
8% (512/41)1st Set Won, Lost Match7% (1219/85)
35% (366/128)1st Set Lost, Won Match41% (342/141)

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